对长期资金的信心是重燃,锌价格仍然坚强

8月03日,2020年

LME库存下周五下跌125吨至188050吨。三个月的锌收入上涨0.87%至每吨2313美元。上海锌股市每周跌至841吨至88347吨。上海锌夜合约主要收盘1.14%。报告19005元。

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   The US economic data slightly exceeded expectations last Friday, but the European economic data that the market had hoped fell short of expectations, and international relations continued to be tense, and most non-ferrous metals declined. On Friday, Shanghai Zinc rose strongly, breaking through the Wanji line. Lun Zinc continued to rebound in the evening to close the small Yang line. Shanghai zinc opened slightly lower in the night trading and closed the doji within a narrow range.


  In terms of news, Glencore released the 2020 semi-annual report. According to the report, zinc production in the second quarter was 254,500 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7% and a month-on-month decrease of 13.85%. Zinc output in the first half of the year was 550,100 tons, an increase of 3% year-on-year. This reflects the higher zinc grades in Canadian mines and various temporary shutdowns in Antamina and other South American mines due to Covid-19. From a fundamental point of view, the current overseas mines maintain the pace of resumption of production, and the domestic zinc mine supply has steadily rebounded. In August, the average domestic mineral processing fee rose by 250 yuan/ton, and the profitability of the refinery was considerable. However, there were still silver nonferrous metals, Yuguang, and Zijin in August. , Hunan Huayuan area and other maintenance, it is expected that the growth of refined zinc supply will be limited. Downstream consumption has improved compared with the previous period, and the galvanized sector still maintains a better performance. Die-cast zinc alloy and zinc oxide also show signs of recovery in external demand. Domestic zinc ingot destocking is accelerating. Because imported zinc ingots continue to lose money, the supply of bonded areas has an impact on the market limited.


   On the whole, the fundamentals have improved, and the confidence of the bulls has reignited, driving the main force Masukura up. It is expected that the short-term zinc price will remain strong. At the same time, it is still necessary to prevent macro-risk events from disturbing the zinc price.


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